Miami Ranks No. 23 in ESPN’s Football Power Index and Future Game Projections

The Miami Hurricanes secured their second consecutive overtime victory, 29-26, against the Virginia Cavaliers last Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

This win elevated Miami to a 6-2 record, including 2-2 in the Atlantic Coast Conference, securing their second consecutive victory against an ACC opponent in 2023, after starting conference play 0-2. Now, the question arises: What are reasonable expectations for UM in their final four games of the season? To gain insight, let’s turn to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) for guidance.

The ESPN FPI, an analytical tool, currently ranks Miami as the 23rd best team in the nation. It also ranks Miami’s offense 28th nationally, with the defense at 31st. To understand the essence of the ESPN FPI, it assesses a team’s strength, aiming to be an accurate predictor of future performance, revealing how many points above or below the average a team stands. The predictions rely on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season, incorporating FPI, past outcomes, and the upcoming schedule.

When we explore UM’s projected performance in their four-remaining regular-season games, the FPI currently predicts Miami to finish with an 8.2-3.9 record, leaning toward an 8-4 finish for the 2023 regular season.

The FPI ranks Miami 21st in the nation in terms of the strength of schedule for their remaining games. Here’s a look at the upcoming matchups and their respective win probabilities, according to the FPI:

• November 4th, at North Carolina State Wolfpack (4-3, 1-2 ACC) – 65.9% win probability.
• November 11th, at Florida State Seminoles (7-0, 5-0 ACC) – 16.3% win probability.
• November 18th, hosting Louisville Cardinals (6-1, 3-1 ACC) – 55.8% win probability.
• November 24th, at Boston College Eagles (4-3, 2-2 ACC) – 78.7% win probability.

The next challenge for the Miami Hurricanes is an away game against the North Carolina State Wolfpack this Saturday at 8:00 P.M. EST. The Wolfpack defeated the Clemson Tigers with a 24-17 victory last Saturday.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi