Miami Hurricanes Favored to Win Final Two Regular Season Games According to ESPN Analytics

The Miami Hurricanes lost a hard-fought battle against the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday, 27-20, at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida.

This loss dropped Miami to a 6-4 record, including 2-4 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The defeat to the Seminoles marked the Hurricanes’ second consecutive loss against an ACC opponent in November. What are reasonable expectations for UM in their final two games of the regular season? To gain insight, let’s turn to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) for guidance.

The ESPN FPI, an analytical tool, currently ranks Miami as the 26th best team in the nation. It also ranks Miami’s offense 38th nationally, with the defense at 24th. To understand the essence of the ESPN FPI, it assesses a team’s strength, aiming to be an accurate predictor of future performance, revealing how many points above or below the average a team stands. The predictions rely on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season, incorporating FPI, past outcomes, and the upcoming schedule.

When we explore UM’s projected performance in their two remaining regular-season games, the FPI currently predicts Miami to finish with a 7.3-4.7 record, leaning toward a 7-5 finish for the 2023 regular season.

The FPI ranks Miami 42nd in the nation in terms of the strength of schedule for their remaining games. Here’s a look at the upcoming matchups and their respective win probabilities, according to the FPI:

• – November 18th, hosting Louisville Cardinals (9-1, 6-1 ACC) – 52.8% win probability.
• – November 24th, at Boston College Eagles (6-4, 3-3 ACC) – 79.8% win probability.

The next challenge for the Miami Hurricanes is a home game against the Louisville Cardinals next Saturday at 12:00 P.M. EST. The Cardinals defeated the Virginia Cavaliers with a 31-24 victory on Thursday.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi